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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 25.9 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen | 2.89–0.41 | 87% · 10% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–0 Twente | 1.52–0.52 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Heracles 1–1 FC Volendam | 1.90–0.59 | 69% · 21% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Heracles had 69% |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.96–1.78 | 62% · 17% · 22% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 62% |
| Utrecht 1–1 PSV Eindhoven | 1.40–0.99 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitesse 1–2 Feyenoord | 0.39–2.64 | 4% · 11% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.51–1.32 | 42% · 25% · 33% | Close call, Go Ahead Eagles won |
| Ajax 4–1 Waalwijk | 2.46–1.66 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Almere City FC 0–0 Fortuna Sittard | 0.32–0.59 | 17% · 48% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.