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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 32.7 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles | 1.84–1.29 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Won against the xG: Heracles |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.23–1.16 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Won against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam |
| Twente 2–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.58–1.19 | 46% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| PEC Zwolle 2–2 Heerenveen | 1.37–2.82 | 16% · 16% · 68% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 68% |
| PSV Eindhoven 3–1 Excelsior | 4.02–0.82 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| FC Volendam 0–1 Almere City FC | 0.85–1.77 | 18% · 23% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 Ajax | 3.13–2.12 | 58% · 16% · 25% | Won against the xG: Ajax |
| Vitesse 0–0 Utrecht | 0.93–1.64 | 21% · 25% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 54% |
| Feyenoord 2–2 NEC Nijmegen | 2.38–0.53 | 79% · 15% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 79% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.