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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 28.5 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.01–0.36 | 77% · 17% · 6% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Utrecht 1–1 Waalwijk | 1.77–1.95 | 36% · 21% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Excelsior 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.33–0.93 | 46% · 28% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heerenveen 1–2 FC Volendam | 1.20–0.73 | 47% · 30% · 22% | Won against the xG: FC Volendam |
| Almere City FC 5–0 Vitesse | 1.89–0.37 | 74% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Almere City FC |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Twente | 2.71–2.96 | 37% · 17% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heracles 0–4 Feyenoord | 0.07–3.07 | 0% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.45–1.64 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 56% |
| AZ Alkmaar 0–4 PSV Eindhoven | 0.07–3.03 | 0% · 6% · 94% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.