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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 29.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen | 4.73–0.62 | 95% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Feyenoord 3–1 FC Volendam | 2.97–0.45 | 87% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Twente 4–2 Excelsior | 3.62–0.48 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.42–1.08 | 81% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC Nijmegen | 1.45–1.05 | 46% · 26% · 27% | Won against the xG: NEC Nijmegen |
| AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Almere City FC | 1.55–0.67 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Go Ahead Eagles 0–2 Utrecht | 1.25–0.74 | 48% · 30% · 22% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Waalwijk | 1.47–0.69 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Vitesse 2–0 Heracles | 1.75–1.79 | 38% · 22% · 40% | Close call, Vitesse won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.