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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 26.4 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk 2–0 NEC Nijmegen | 1.95–0.93 | 61% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Excelsior 0–3 Twente | 0.86–1.05 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Almere City FC 0–0 AZ Alkmaar | 0.53–1.00 | 19% · 35% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heracles 3–2 Vitesse | 2.36–0.80 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.43–1.41 | 60% · 19% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Go Ahead Eagles had 60% |
| Utrecht 4–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.81–0.42 | 72% · 21% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax | 1.97–1.38 | 51% · 22% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| FC Volendam 1–5 PSV Eindhoven | 0.65–3.39 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Feyenoord 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.19–0.24 | 93% · 6% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.