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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 28.5 xG (0.77 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heracles | 3.91–0.17 | 97% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior | 2.44–1.36 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.69–1.78 | 37% · 22% · 41% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Heerenveen 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.07–1.64 | 25% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| PEC Zwolle 0–1 Almere City FC | 1.13–0.13 | 63% · 33% · 4% | Won against the xG: Almere City FC |
| Twente 0–1 Utrecht | 1.93–0.42 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| Ajax 2–2 NEC Nijmegen | 1.09–1.90 | 21% · 22% · 56% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 56% |
| Vitesse 1–1 FC Volendam | 3.10–0.42 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Vitesse had 89% |
| Feyenoord 1–0 Waalwijk | 3.87–0.48 | 93% · 5% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.