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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 0.79–1.46 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Won against the xG: Heracles |
| Fortuna Sittard 3–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.32–0.28 | 84% · 13% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Excelsior 1–1 Waalwijk | 1.78–1.46 | 45% · 23% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC | 1.30–0.38 | 60% · 29% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Vitesse had 60% |
| FC Volendam 0–4 AZ Alkmaar | 0.70–2.40 | 9% · 16% · 75% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Utrecht 1–0 NEC Nijmegen | 2.10–0.57 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heerenveen 2–3 Feyenoord | 0.56–2.64 | 6% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 Ajax | 1.19–1.46 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| PSV Eindhoven 1–0 Twente | 2.02–0.98 | 61% · 21% · 18% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.