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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 27.6 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse 1–4 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.95–1.98 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Excelsior 0–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.00–1.61 | 0% · 20% · 80% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 3.03–0.28 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 91% |
| Heracles 5–0 AZ Alkmaar | 3.27–1.54 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Utrecht 5–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.82–0.20 | 91% · 8% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Heerenveen 3–3 Twente | 1.63–1.06 | 51% · 25% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 51% |
| FC Volendam 0–0 Feyenoord | 0.70–2.63 | 8% · 14% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 79% |
| Waalwijk 0–0 Almere City FC | 1.74–0.34 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Waalwijk had 72% |
| Ajax 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.63–1.24 | 46% · 24% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.