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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 29.2 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Heracles | 1.36–1.48 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–1 AZ Alkmaar | 3.67–1.38 | 79% · 11% · 10% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior | 3.36–1.32 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Twente 2–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.90–0.10 | 82% · 16% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Vitesse 0–3 NEC Nijmegen | 1.06–1.24 | 31% · 28% · 40% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Feyenoord 6–0 Ajax | 3.61–0.10 | 96% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Almere City FC | 0.75–1.24 | 22% · 30% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Volendam 3–2 Waalwijk | 2.71–1.61 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| Heerenveen 2–3 Utrecht | 0.99–1.32 | 28% · 28% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.