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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 26.0 xG (1.27 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior 4–0 FC Volendam | 4.64–0.64 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| PSV Eindhoven 6–0 Vitesse | 2.36–0.48 | 80% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–2 Waalwijk | 2.09–0.63 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Almere City FC 2–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.24–1.55 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Heracles 0–2 Heerenveen | 1.17–1.43 | 31% · 26% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Fortuna Sittard 0–1 Feyenoord | 0.52–1.74 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Utrecht 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.78–0.77 | 61% · 23% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Ajax 2–1 Twente | 2.25–0.38 | 80% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 1.53–0.83 | 54% · 26% · 20% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.