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9 of 9 matches with xG: 37 goals from 22.9 xG (1.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente 3–1 Almere City FC | 1.59–0.15 | 75% · 22% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 2–2 Excelsior | 1.57–1.28 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heerenveen 0–8 PSV Eindhoven | 0.26–2.64 | 2% · 10% · 88% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 Feyenoord | 1.40–1.15 | 43% · 26% · 31% | Close call, Feyenoord won |
| NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar | 0.56–1.38 | 15% · 28% · 57% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| PEC Zwolle 3–1 Heracles | 2.17–1.33 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 FC Volendam | 0.74–0.56 | 36% · 40% · 25% | Close call, Sparta Rotterdam won |
| Waalwijk 2–2 Utrecht | 0.76–1.51 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 55% |
| Vitesse 3–2 Fortuna Sittard | 1.33–2.50 | 19% · 18% · 63% | Won against the xG: Vitesse |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.