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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 30.2 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.35–0.73 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 52% |
| Almere City FC 1–1 Heerenveen | 1.83–1.96 | 37% · 21% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.35–0.46 | 80% · 15% · 6% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heracles 0–5 Waalwijk | 1.78–3.11 | 20% · 16% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Utrecht 1–0 Vitesse | 1.05–2.01 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| FC Volendam 1–4 Ajax | 1.61–1.64 | 38% · 23% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente | 1.40–1.52 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Close call, AZ Alkmaar won |
| Feyenoord 5–0 PEC Zwolle | 5.00–0.22 | 98% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen | 0.68–1.51 | 17% · 26% · 57% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.