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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 29.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 0–3 Go Ahead Eagles | 1.08–3.06 | 10% · 13% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Heracles 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.19–2.87 | 13% · 15% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam had 72% |
| Ajax 2–1 Waalwijk | 2.46–0.95 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| PEC Zwolle 0–1 NEC Nijmegen | 0.41–1.02 | 15% · 35% · 50% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 AZ Alkmaar | 2.15–1.42 | 54% · 21% · 25% | Draw against the xG: PSV Eindhoven had 54% |
| Twente 6–2 Willem II | 3.28–0.95 | 82% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Groningen 0–0 Almere City FC | 1.29–0.26 | 64% · 29% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Groningen had 64% |
| Feyenoord 1–2 Utrecht | 2.24–1.71 | 50% · 20% · 30% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
| NAC Breda 2–4 Heerenveen | 1.15–1.57 | 28% · 25% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.