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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.6 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle 3–1 PSV Eindhoven | 1.18–3.21 | 10% · 13% · 77% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar | 0.83–1.14 | 27% · 31% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Willem II 1–1 Feyenoord | 0.47–0.95 | 18% · 36% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 Groningen | 1.11–1.12 | 35% · 29% · 36% | Close call, Go Ahead Eagles won |
| NAC Breda 2–1 Twente | 1.03–1.81 | 21% · 23% · 56% | Won against the xG: NAC Breda |
| Almere City FC 0–2 Heracles | 0.84–1.03 | 29% · 32% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax | 0.55–2.72 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| NEC Nijmegen 4–1 Fortuna Sittard | 1.00–0.25 | 55% · 36% · 9% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Waalwijk | 1.36–2.95 | 15% · 15% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Waalwijk had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.