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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 30.6 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda 1–1 Heracles | 1.17–1.20 | 35% · 28% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 3–3 Utrecht | 0.70–2.62 | 8% · 14% · 78% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 78% |
| Heerenveen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard | 3.17–1.00 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 80% |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–3 PSV Eindhoven | 2.25–2.44 | 37% · 19% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Almere City FC 1–4 Waalwijk | 1.49–2.31 | 24% · 20% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord | 3.54–0.84 | 86% · 9% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Twente | 1.39–2.03 | 26% · 21% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 52% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Groningen | 0.65–1.07 | 22% · 33% · 45% | Won against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam |
| Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar | 0.35–2.36 | 4% · 13% · 83% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.