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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 27.9 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willem II 1–2 Heracles | 0.80–2.22 | 12% · 18% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Waalwijk 3–1 Heerenveen | 1.34–0.91 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Waalwijk |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–0 NAC Breda | 1.43–0.79 | 52% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| Almere City FC 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.73–1.94 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| PEC Zwolle 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.08–1.15 | 59% · 21% · 20% | Draw against the xG: PEC Zwolle had 59% |
| Twente 2–0 Utrecht | 1.33–1.03 | 44% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Feyenoord 2–3 PSV Eindhoven | 1.17–2.92 | 12% · 15% · 73% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen | 2.44–0.75 | 75% · 16% · 10% | Won against the xG: NEC Nijmegen |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen | 3.26–0.65 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.