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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.1 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC 1–1 Fortuna Sittard | 0.89–0.88 | 34% · 33% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Groningen 2–2 Ajax | 1.78–0.85 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Groningen had 59% |
| Twente 2–3 AZ Alkmaar | 2.08–2.04 | 41% · 20% · 39% | Close call, AZ Alkmaar won |
| Utrecht 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.65–1.08 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 71% |
| Feyenoord 2–0 Waalwijk | 3.89–0.20 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Heerenveen | 1.59–1.07 | 49% · 25% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–0 NAC Breda | 2.13–1.23 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Heracles | 3.00–0.65 | 84% · 11% · 5% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Willem II 1–2 PEC Zwolle | 1.00–1.09 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.