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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.7 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle 1–2 AZ Alkmaar | 1.69–1.44 | 44% · 24% · 33% | Close call, AZ Alkmaar won |
| Utrecht 3–2 Willem II | 1.33–0.49 | 58% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Waalwijk 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.39–1.15 | 65% · 18% · 17% | Won against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Ajax | 0.80–0.51 | 39% · 39% · 22% | Draw in line with xG |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Heracles | 1.68–2.03 | 32% · 21% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Heerenveen 2–1 Groningen | 1.72–0.34 | 72% · 21% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Almere City FC 0–5 Twente | 2.40–1.62 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Won against the xG: Twente |
| Feyenoord 2–0 NAC Breda | 2.52–0.14 | 89% · 10% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–3 PSV Eindhoven | 0.60–1.85 | 11% · 21% · 67% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.