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9 of 9 matches with xG: 17 goals from 23.4 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 2–1 Heerenveen | 1.49–0.63 | 58% · 26% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Heracles |
| Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.64–1.62 | 14% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord | 1.12–1.27 | 33% · 28% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Fortuna Sittard | 1.43–0.96 | 48% · 27% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Almere City FC | 1.18–1.56 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Won against the xG: PEC Zwolle |
| Twente 1–0 NAC Breda | 2.21–0.39 | 79% · 15% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Groningen 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles | 0.16–2.95 | 1% · 7% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Waalwijk 0–2 Ajax | 0.05–1.50 | 1% · 23% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Utrecht | 3.04–1.16 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Won against the xG: Utrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.