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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 26.2 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.34–1.17 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Fortuna Sittard had 63% |
| NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior | 2.48–1.03 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Feyenoord 2–0 NAC Breda | 2.44–0.25 | 86% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heerenveen 1–1 FC Volendam | 1.52–0.79 | 55% · 26% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 55% |
| PSV Eindhoven 6–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.73–1.21 | 50% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Twente | 0.88–1.17 | 28% · 30% · 43% | Close call, PEC Zwolle won |
| Ajax 2–0 Telstar | 1.68–1.26 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen | 1.56–1.50 | 39% · 24% · 37% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Utrecht 4–0 Heracles | 2.34–0.88 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.