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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 26.7 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar 0–2 PEC Zwolle | 0.85–2.36 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Excelsior 1–2 Feyenoord | 1.07–2.52 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Heracles 1–4 NEC Nijmegen | 1.33–3.05 | 14% · 15% · 72% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen | 0.80–2.16 | 13% · 19% · 69% | Won against the xG: Groningen |
| Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Ajax | 0.66–1.77 | 13% · 23% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 64% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Utrecht | 1.47–1.39 | 39% · 25% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Twente 0–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.91–1.72 | 20% · 24% · 56% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| FC Volendam 2–2 AZ Alkmaar | 0.45–1.40 | 12% · 27% · 61% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 61% |
| NAC Breda 2–1 Fortuna Sittard | 2.06–0.73 | 68% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.