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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 31.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 2.60–1.71 | 57% · 18% · 25% | Won against the xG: Sparta Rotterdam |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–2 Groningen | 2.48–1.32 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Telstar 2–2 FC Volendam | 1.78–0.42 | 71% · 21% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Telstar had 71% |
| Heerenveen 1–2 Twente | 2.39–2.01 | 47% · 19% · 33% | Close call, Twente won |
| NEC Nijmegen 3–0 NAC Breda | 4.19–0.45 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior | 1.78–1.31 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Ajax 2–0 Heracles | 2.67–0.16 | 90% · 9% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Feyenoord 2–0 Fortuna Sittard | 2.13–0.30 | 80% · 15% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–2 PEC Zwolle | 2.49–0.91 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.