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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 27.6 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen 4–0 Heracles | 1.80–0.46 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| FC Volendam 1–1 Ajax | 0.76–1.38 | 21% · 28% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 52% |
| Heerenveen 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.73–1.18 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Heerenveen had 70% |
| PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Telstar | 1.72–1.48 | 43% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Telstar won |
| Excelsior 1–0 Twente | 0.37–2.52 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Won against the xG: Excelsior |
| Fortuna Sittard 3–2 NEC Nijmegen | 1.33–1.90 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Feyenoord | 0.55–2.51 | 6% · 14% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| PEC Zwolle 0–2 Utrecht | 1.01–1.14 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| NAC Breda 0–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.96–2.82 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.