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Eredivisie 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 5

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Matches

Matchday 5 in xG

9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle2.59–0.5382% · 13% · 5%Win in line with xG for Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles 3–0 FC Volendam2.14–1.3156% · 21% · 23%Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen 3–5 PSV Eindhoven2.00–2.2336% · 20% · 44%Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord 1–0 Heerenveen0.91–1.1728% · 30% · 42%Close call, Feyenoord won
Twente 2–2 NAC Breda2.21–0.6274% · 17% · 9%Draw against the xG: Twente had 74%
Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam1.55–1.5937% · 24% · 39%Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles 1–2 AZ Alkmaar0.76–3.186% · 10% · 84%Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht 0–1 Groningen1.24–1.6928% · 24% · 48%Win in line with xG for Groningen
Telstar 1–3 Fortuna Sittard1.70–1.1450% · 24% · 26%Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 4 · Matchday 6

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