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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 30.4 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–5 Twente | 1.11–2.59 | 14% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| FC Volendam 1–2 Excelsior | 1.48–1.76 | 33% · 23% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| Groningen 2–0 Telstar | 1.80–0.84 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Utrecht | 1.16–0.96 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| NAC Breda 2–1 Heracles | 2.50–1.09 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for NAC Breda |
| PEC Zwolle 0–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 0.49–2.07 | 8% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| Heerenveen 3–2 NEC Nijmegen | 2.81–0.94 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax | 3.45–2.18 | 62% · 15% · 22% | Draw against the xG: PSV Eindhoven had 62% |
| AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Feyenoord | 1.21–1.92 | 24% · 22% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.