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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.9 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente 3–2 Fortuna Sittard | 2.90–0.48 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 2–1 NAC Breda | 1.87–1.56 | 45% · 22% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| FC Volendam 2–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.96–1.03 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Win in line with xG for FC Volendam |
| Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven | 2.17–2.67 | 32% · 18% · 50% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heracles 3–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.33–1.50 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Close call, Heracles won |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar | 1.81–0.38 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Groningen 0–1 Feyenoord | 0.98–1.17 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Utrecht 2–2 Heerenveen | 2.00–1.31 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Utrecht had 53% |
| Telstar 4–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.36–2.38 | 40% · 19% · 41% | Close call, Telstar won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.