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9 of 9 matches with xG: 30 goals from 25.8 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda 1–2 Groningen | 0.72–1.46 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Ajax | 2.14–1.71 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–0 FC Volendam | 1.58–0.84 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Fortuna Sittard |
| PEC Zwolle 0–4 PSV Eindhoven | 0.14–2.15 | 2% · 13% · 85% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior | 2.01–0.57 | 71% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Twente 2–1 Heracles | 1.35–0.51 | 58% · 28% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Feyenoord 3–2 Utrecht | 3.42–0.49 | 90% · 7% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Telstar | 3.96–1.01 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 NEC Nijmegen | 0.76–0.95 | 28% · 34% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.