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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 32.5 xG (0.89 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior 0–2 Groningen | 2.01–3.89 | 16% · 13% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Heerenveen 0–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.81–0.77 | 33% · 36% · 31% | Close call, PSV Eindhoven won |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–3 Ajax | 2.72–1.01 | 73% · 15% · 11% | Won against the xG: Ajax |
| Heracles 1–1 Telstar | 2.21–0.75 | 71% · 18% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Heracles had 71% |
| Feyenoord 6–1 PEC Zwolle | 3.40–0.97 | 83% · 10% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Utrecht 1–1 Twente | 0.82–1.54 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 54% |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.11–1.33 | 55% · 21% · 24% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 55% |
| FC Volendam 2–3 NEC Nijmegen | 2.14–1.29 | 57% · 21% · 23% | Won against the xG: NEC Nijmegen |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 NAC Breda | 2.43–2.26 | 44% · 19% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.