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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar 2–2 NEC Nijmegen | 1.82–2.34 | 30% · 20% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Groningen 3–0 FC Volendam | 2.67–0.22 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| PSV Eindhoven 4–3 Heracles | 3.22–2.64 | 51% · 16% · 33% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| PEC Zwolle 1–0 Fortuna Sittard | 1.58–0.72 | 58% · 25% · 17% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–3 Heerenveen | 0.52–1.38 | 14% · 28% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Ajax 2–0 Feyenoord | 1.25–1.89 | 25% · 22% · 52% | Won against the xG: Ajax |
| Twente 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 3.55–0.32 | 93% · 5% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| NAC Breda 1–1 Utrecht | 1.20–0.66 | 49% · 31% · 20% | Draw in line with xG |
| AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior | 1.85–1.12 | 54% · 23% · 23% | Draw against the xG: AZ Alkmaar had 54% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.