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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.7 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 0–3 Heerenveen | 0.48–1.76 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Heerenveen |
| Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle | 1.71–1.18 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax | 2.05–2.02 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| NAC Breda 0–1 Telstar | 0.73–1.48 | 18% · 26% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
| Utrecht 1–2 PSV Eindhoven | 1.37–1.53 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Feyenoord 1–1 Twente | 0.69–2.54 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Twente had 77% |
| Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Groningen | 1.06–1.13 | 34% · 29% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Volendam 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.06–2.75 | 12% · 15% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar | 1.38–3.79 | 9% · 11% · 80% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.