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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.7 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles 1–1 Excelsior | 1.52–1.06 | 48% · 26% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Twente | 1.25–1.85 | 26% · 23% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 FC Volendam | 1.33–0.34 | 62% · 28% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| PEC Zwolle 2–1 NAC Breda | 0.82–1.04 | 28% · 32% · 40% | Close call, PEC Zwolle won |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen | 2.22–1.38 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Draw against the xG: NEC Nijmegen had 57% |
| Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax | 1.37–0.21 | 68% · 27% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 68% |
| Utrecht 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.29–0.62 | 75% · 16% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Utrecht |
| Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar | 2.50–1.73 | 55% · 19% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Telstar 3–1 PSV Eindhoven | 1.84–1.34 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Telstar |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.