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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 33.2 xG (0.96 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen | 2.26–2.09 | 43% · 20% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Volendam 1–2 Fortuna Sittard | 2.21–2.09 | 42% · 20% · 38% | Close call, Fortuna Sittard won |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–3 NEC Nijmegen | 1.53–2.09 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Heerenveen 3–0 Telstar | 1.92–2.15 | 35% · 20% · 44% | Close call, Heerenveen won |
| Ajax 4–0 Sparta Rotterdam | 3.02–0.19 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Twente 0–2 Utrecht | 1.48–1.39 | 40% · 25% · 36% | Close call, Utrecht won |
| AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Heracles | 3.28–0.66 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Feyenoord 2–1 Excelsior | 3.36–0.84 | 84% · 10% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Go Ahead Eagles 6–0 NAC Breda | 1.56–1.13 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.