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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 31.4 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior | 0.70–3.35 | 4% · 9% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Excelsior |
| NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar | 2.15–1.66 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Close call, Telstar won |
| Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II | 2.43–1.51 | 58% · 19% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Go Ahead Eagles |
| PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Fortuna Sittard | 2.31–1.01 | 66% · 18% · 15% | Draw against the xG: PSV Eindhoven had 66% |
| AZ Alkmaar 2–0 ADO Den Haag | 2.67–0.95 | 74% · 15% · 11% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 Feyenoord | 1.01–3.53 | 7% · 10% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| Groningen 2–1 Utrecht | 1.55–2.27 | 26% · 20% · 54% | Won against the xG: Groningen |
| PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax | 0.59–1.54 | 14% · 25% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
| Heerenveen 1–0 Twente | 0.39–1.78 | 7% · 21% · 72% | Won against the xG: Heerenveen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.