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9 of 9 matches with xG: 38 goals from 33.3 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam | 1.40–2.54 | 20% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Sparta Rotterdam |
| Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen | 1.43–2.99 | 16% · 15% · 69% | Win in line with xG for NEC Nijmegen |
| Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar | 0.91–2.10 | 15% · 20% · 65% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven | 0.51–2.24 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Fortuna Sittard 3–1 Cambuur | 1.91–2.51 | 30% · 19% · 51% | Won against the xG: Fortuna Sittard |
| ADO Den Haag 1–4 Groningen | 1.01–3.20 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Groningen |
| Feyenoord 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles | 2.89–1.51 | 66% · 16% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Feyenoord had 66% |
| Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle | 2.08–0.68 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen | 2.00–1.36 | 52% · 22% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Ajax had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.