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9 of 9 matches with xG: 38 goals from 33.3 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar | 0.44–4.35 | 1% · 3% · 96% | Win in line with xG for AZ Alkmaar |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Utrecht | 1.73–1.92 | 35% · 22% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Heerenveen 0–2 PEC Zwolle | 0.85–1.55 | 21% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for PEC Zwolle |
| Go Ahead Eagles 3–1 ADO Den Haag | 0.85–0.83 | 33% · 34% · 32% | Close call, Go Ahead Eagles won |
| PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen | 4.40–1.09 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for PSV Eindhoven |
| Cambuur 2–5 Feyenoord | 0.96–2.62 | 11% · 16% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Feyenoord |
| NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior | 1.36–1.81 | 29% · 23% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Twente 1–0 Telstar | 2.65–0.52 | 83% · 12% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Twente |
| Ajax 5–1 Willem II | 3.79–1.58 | 77% · 12% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Ajax |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.