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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 21.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril 4–0 Casa Pia | 1.69–0.52 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Portimonense 2–1 Chaves | 1.15–1.17 | 35% · 28% · 36% | Close call, Portimonense won |
| Estrela 0–1 Moreirense | 0.37–0.84 | 15% · 40% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Vizela 0–0 Famalicao | 1.70–0.73 | 61% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Vizela had 61% |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–2 FC Porto | 2.31–1.01 | 66% · 18% · 15% | Won against the xG: FC Porto |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Rio Ave | 0.45–2.60 | 4% · 12% · 83% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 83% |
| Boavista 1–3 Farense | 0.87–1.61 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Arouca 0–1 SC Braga | 0.65–1.21 | 20% · 30% · 50% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 2–1 Sporting CP | 1.68–0.74 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.