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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 29.6 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela 1–3 SC Braga | 1.13–2.51 | 15% · 17% · 67% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Benfica 1–1 Farense | 4.51–0.40 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Benfica had 96% |
| Portimonense 1–1 Famalicao | 0.63–0.96 | 23% · 35% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitória Guimarães 3–2 Sporting CP | 2.27–1.81 | 49% · 20% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| FC Porto 3–1 Casa Pia | 2.81–1.25 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estrela 3–1 Boavista | 0.66–0.81 | 27% · 37% · 36% | Close call, Estrela won |
| Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave | 1.24–2.47 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 64% |
| Estoril 4–0 Chaves | 2.61–0.71 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Moreirense | 1.40–1.40 | 37% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.