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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.3 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farense 0–0 Estrela | 0.73–1.24 | 22% · 30% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Vizela | 0.88–0.36 | 47% · 39% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arouca 3–0 Gil Vicente | 1.36–1.46 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Close call, Arouca won |
| Boavista 1–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.74–0.80 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Boavista had 60% |
| Moreirense 5–2 Portimonense | 1.86–1.37 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Chaves 1–3 Casa Pia | 0.82–1.12 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Famalicao 1–1 Estoril | 1.18–1.18 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 0–1 Benfica | 1.71–1.49 | 43% · 23% · 34% | Close call, Benfica won |
| Sporting CP 2–0 FC Porto | 1.41–0.58 | 57% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.