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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.5 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela 0–0 Moreirense | 0.33–0.40 | 20% · 55% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Rio Ave | 0.97–0.58 | 44% · 35% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Estrela 1–4 Arouca | 0.94–3.93 | 5% · 8% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Benfica 3–0 Famalicao | 1.60–0.71 | 59% · 25% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| FC Porto 1–0 Chaves | 1.36–0.65 | 54% · 28% · 18% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Gil Vicente 1–0 Boavista | 1.22–0.58 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Estoril 4–0 Farense | 1.16–2.07 | 21% · 21% · 58% | Won against the xG: Estoril |
| Casa Pia 1–3 SC Braga | 1.00–1.21 | 30% · 29% · 41% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Portimonense 1–2 Sporting CP | 0.49–2.29 | 6% · 15% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.