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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP 5–1 Estoril | 4.17–1.09 | 88% · 7% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Boavista 1–1 FC Porto | 0.32–2.26 | 4% · 14% · 82% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 82% |
| Farense 1–0 Gil Vicente | 2.27–1.19 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| Estrela 1–1 Vizela | 1.69–0.94 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 55% |
| Arouca 0–3 Benfica | 0.89–2.28 | 13% · 18% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 1–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.70–0.85 | 58% · 24% · 19% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 58% |
| Rio Ave 2–0 Portimonense | 1.43–0.43 | 62% · 27% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Rio Ave |
| Famalicao 2–2 Chaves | 1.62–1.94 | 33% · 22% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Moreirense 1–4 Casa Pia | 1.20–1.25 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.