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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.7 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense 1–0 Farense | 1.31–0.67 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Portimonense |
| Casa Pia 0–2 Famalicao | 0.48–0.52 | 25% · 47% · 28% | Close call, Famalicao won |
| Chaves 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.36–2.51 | 4% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Estoril 1–3 Moreirense | 0.67–1.55 | 16% · 25% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 Estrela | 0.47–1.48 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Draw against the xG: Estrela had 62% |
| Vizela 1–4 Boavista | 2.63–1.43 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Won against the xG: Boavista |
| Benfica 4–1 Rio Ave | 2.83–1.72 | 61% · 17% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| FC Porto 2–0 SC Braga | 1.75–1.42 | 45% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Arouca | 2.42–1.46 | 59% · 19% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.