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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 23.8 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 1–2 SC Braga | 1.72–1.12 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Won against the xG: SC Braga |
| Vizela 2–5 Sporting CP | 0.93–2.74 | 10% · 15% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Benfica 2–0 Boavista | 2.82–0.44 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estoril 1–2 Arouca | 2.08–1.40 | 53% · 21% · 26% | Won against the xG: Arouca |
| Casa Pia 1–3 Farense | 0.89–1.14 | 28% · 30% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Farense |
| FC Porto 5–0 Moreirense | 1.63–0.26 | 72% · 22% · 5% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Portimonense 0–2 Gil Vicente | 0.18–1.53 | 4% · 23% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Chaves 0–0 Rio Ave | 1.90–0.79 | 64% · 22% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Chaves had 64% |
| Vitória Guimarães 3–0 Estrela | 1.85–0.39 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.