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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 27.3 xG (1.21 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boavista 1–4 Portimonense | 2.06–0.68 | 70% · 19% · 11% | Won against the xG: Portimonense |
| Moreirense 1–0 Famalicao | 1.27–0.89 | 45% · 29% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Farense 1–3 FC Porto | 1.88–1.69 | 43% · 22% · 35% | Close call, FC Porto won |
| Arouca 5–0 Vizela | 2.31–0.97 | 67% · 18% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Gil Vicente 1–0 Vitória Guimarães | 0.71–0.83 | 28% · 36% · 35% | Close call, Gil Vicente won |
| Estrela 1–4 Benfica | 0.58–3.10 | 4% · 10% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Sporting CP 8–0 Casa Pia | 4.33–0.27 | 97% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Rio Ave 1–1 Estoril | 0.76–1.07 | 26% · 32% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 1–1 Chaves | 3.32–0.55 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: SC Braga had 89% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.