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9 of 9 matches with xG: 12 goals from 16.2 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense 1–2 Arouca | 1.96–1.97 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| FC Porto 0–0 Rio Ave | 1.48–0.20 | 71% · 25% · 5% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 71% |
| Chaves 1–1 Farense | 0.87–1.67 | 19% · 24% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Farense had 56% |
| Vizela 0–1 Vitória Guimarães | 0.39–1.73 | 8% · 22% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Benfica 3–0 Gil Vicente | 1.44–0.19 | 70% · 25% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Estoril 1–0 Estrela | 0.64–1.02 | 23% · 34% · 44% | Won against the xG: Estoril |
| SC Braga 1–0 Moreirense | 0.73–0.48 | 37% · 41% · 22% | Close call, SC Braga won |
| Casa Pia 0–0 Boavista | 0.33–0.09 | 26% · 68% · 6% | Draw in line with xG |
| Famalicao 0–1 Sporting CP | 0.30–0.76 | 13% · 43% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.