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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 20.5 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela 3–0 Portimonense | 1.50–0.44 | 64% · 26% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Farense 1–1 Famalicao | 1.54–1.00 | 50% · 26% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Moreirense 1–0 Chaves | 1.71–0.87 | 57% · 24% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Boavista 2–1 Estoril | 1.06–1.65 | 24% · 24% · 51% | Won against the xG: Boavista |
| Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia | 0.52–0.20 | 35% · 54% · 11% | Close call, Rio Ave won |
| Sporting CP 5–0 SC Braga | 2.43–0.34 | 84% · 13% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Vitória Guimarães 2–2 Benfica | 2.06–0.99 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Vitória Guimarães had 62% |
| Arouca 3–2 FC Porto | 1.62–1.43 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Gil Vicente 0–1 Vizela | 0.84–0.33 | 46% · 40% · 14% | Won against the xG: Vizela |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.