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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 27.5 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao 2–1 Rio Ave | 1.45–2.06 | 27% · 21% · 52% | Won against the xG: Famalicao |
| Chaves 2–1 Boavista | 1.05–2.04 | 19% · 21% · 60% | Won against the xG: Chaves |
| Portimonense 1–1 Vitória Guimarães | 1.08–1.57 | 26% · 25% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 2–0 Estrela | 2.06–0.24 | 81% · 16% · 3% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Casa Pia 1–0 Arouca | 0.92–0.96 | 33% · 32% · 35% | Close call, Casa Pia won |
| Estoril 1–3 Gil Vicente | 0.59–2.10 | 9% · 18% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Gil Vicente |
| Benfica 6–1 Vizela | 3.62–1.62 | 74% · 13% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| SC Braga 2–1 Farense | 2.94–0.47 | 87% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP | 0.30–2.45 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.