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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 25.0 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca 3–2 Famalicao | 1.80–1.23 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Farense 0–1 Moreirense | 0.27–1.09 | 9% · 34% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Estrela 1–1 Chaves | 0.51–0.99 | 19% · 35% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitória Guimarães 0–2 Casa Pia | 1.39–1.54 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Casa Pia |
| Vizela 3–3 Estoril | 1.98–1.14 | 57% · 22% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Vizela had 57% |
| Gil Vicente 1–1 FC Porto | 0.46–3.19 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Draw against the xG: FC Porto had 89% |
| Benfica 4–0 Portimonense | 3.49–0.37 | 93% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP | 2.13–0.97 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Rio Ave had 64% |
| Boavista 0–4 SC Braga | 0.84–1.61 | 20% · 25% · 56% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.