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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 20.8 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chaves 1–5 Arouca | 0.79–1.74 | 17% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Arouca |
| Moreirense 0–0 Rio Ave | 1.33–0.08 | 71% · 27% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Moreirense had 71% |
| Estoril 1–3 Vitória Guimarães | 2.09–0.39 | 78% · 17% · 6% | Won against the xG: Vitória Guimarães |
| SC Braga 3–0 Estrela | 2.54–0.70 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for SC Braga |
| Casa Pia 0–0 Gil Vicente | 1.11–0.57 | 49% · 32% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Portimonense 0–0 Vizela | 1.28–0.88 | 46% · 29% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sporting CP 3–2 Farense | 2.11–0.62 | 72% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| FC Porto 5–0 Benfica | 2.86–0.46 | 86% · 10% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Famalicao 1–1 Boavista | 0.89–0.39 | 46% · 38% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.