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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 19.6 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense 0–3 FC Porto | 0.21–2.27 | 2% · 13% · 85% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Estrela 3–1 Casa Pia | 2.43–0.53 | 79% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Estrela |
| Vizela 2–1 Farense | 0.76–0.58 | 36% · 39% · 25% | Close call, Vizela won |
| Boavista 1–0 Moreirense | 0.36–0.25 | 25% · 59% · 16% | Close call, Boavista won |
| Rio Ave 0–0 SC Braga | 0.44–0.79 | 19% · 40% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Famalicao | 2.68–1.26 | 68% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP | 0.54–2.27 | 7% · 16% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
| Benfica 3–1 Estoril | 1.75–0.63 | 64% · 23% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Gil Vicente 0–0 Chaves | 1.58–0.23 | 72% · 23% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Gil Vicente had 72% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.