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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 22.8 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril 1–0 Portimonense | 1.29–1.16 | 39% · 27% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Estoril |
| Famalicao 0–0 Estrela | 0.90–0.75 | 37% · 35% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| SC Braga 2–1 Gil Vicente | 1.15–2.00 | 21% · 21% · 57% | Won against the xG: SC Braga |
| Farense 1–1 Rio Ave | 1.30–1.15 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Porto 4–1 Vizela | 3.06–0.30 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for FC Porto |
| Chaves 1–2 Vitória Guimarães | 0.79–1.72 | 17% · 24% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Vitória Guimarães |
| Moreirense 1–0 Arouca | 0.84–0.34 | 46% · 40% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Moreirense |
| Casa Pia 0–1 Benfica | 0.47–1.68 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Benfica |
| Sporting CP 6–1 Boavista | 3.79–0.14 | 96% · 3% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Sporting CP |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.